Daily Stock Picks — September 30, 2026
Today’s technical picks from the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, based on indicator readings as of the September 29, 2026 close. Holding horizon: a few days to a few years.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Close | Conviction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ASML Holding | BUY | $1834.39 | High |
| LLY | Lilly (Eli) | BUY | $1184.63 | High |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings | SELL | $177.58 | High |
| AMGN | Amgen | BUY | $423.64 | Medium |
| CDW | CDW Corporation | SELL | $129.71 | Medium |
BUY — ASML (ASML Holding)
This is a fresh trend resumption: EMA20 crossed above EMA50 today, MACD crossed above zero 1 day ago (histogram 18.61, up from -5.5), and RSI rose to 63 from 49 as price broke out of a Bollinger squeeze. OBV is at a 20-day high, and the close is 6.7% above SMA50 and 19.8% above SMA200. %B is 1.04 and Stochastic is 90, so consider scaling in on any pullback toward the upper-band area rather than chasing the gap.
- EMA20 crossed above EMA50 today
- MACD crossed above zero 1d ago, hist 18.61 vs -5.5 a week ago
- Bollinger squeeze breakout above upper band (%B 1.04)
- OBV at 20-day high and rising
Close $1834.39 · RSI 63.15 · 6.65% vs SMA50 · 19.75% vs SMA200 · 7-day 9.2% · Sector: Technology
BUY — LLY (Lilly (Eli))
Price reclaimed SMA50 3 days ago and closes 0.5% above it and 10.5% above SMA200. EMA20 crossed above EMA50 1 day ago, and MACD crossed above zero today (histogram 6.37 vs -0.2 a week ago). RSI is a non-stretched 56 (up from 47), OBV is above its 20-day average and rising, and Bollinger width is in the 4th percentile of 6 months, so a squeeze is resolving upward.
- MACD crossed above zero today
- EMA20 crossed above EMA50 1d ago
- RSI 56 rising from 47, %B 0.87
- Bollinger width rank 0.04 (tight squeeze), OBV rising
Close $1184.63 · RSI 55.99 · 0.54% vs SMA50 · 10.5% vs SMA200 · 7-day 2.75% · Sector: Health Care
SELL — TKO (TKO Group Holdings)
The breakdown fits a falling long-term trend: SMA50 is below SMA200, and the close is 5.7% below SMA50 and 9.9% below SMA200 after crossing below SMA50 3 days ago. MACD made a bearish signal cross and then dropped below zero (histogram -1.27), and RSI fell to 35 from 49. OBV is at a 20-day low, confirming distribution even with Stochastic at 9 and %B at -0.12.
- SMA50 below SMA200, close 9.9% below SMA200
- MACD crossed below zero 4d ago, hist -1.27
- RSI 35 down from 49
- OBV at 20-day low and falling
Close $177.58 · RSI 35.11 · -5.74% vs SMA50 · -9.88% vs SMA200 · 7-day -6.17% · Sector: Communication Services
BUY — AMGN (Amgen)
MACD crossed above zero today after a bullish signal cross 3 days ago (histogram 3.3 vs -6.01 a week ago). RSI climbed to 61 from 40, the close is 4.1% above SMA50 and 16.7% above SMA200, and OBV is at a 20-day high on 1.05x average volume. Stochastic at 98 is overbought, so entries on a shallow dip are preferable; conviction is Medium for that reason.
- MACD crossed above zero today
- RSI 61 rising from 40
- Close 4.1% above SMA50, SMA50 above SMA200
- OBV at 20-day high
Close $423.64 · RSI 60.7 · 4.11% vs SMA50 · 16.65% vs SMA200 · 7-day 9.85% · Sector: Health Care
SELL — CDW (CDW Corporation)
Price has lost both moving averages: it crossed below SMA50 3 days ago and below SMA200 1 day ago, and now sits 8.8% below SMA50. MACD crossed below zero 2 days ago (histogram -2.55), and RSI dropped to 34 from 51. OBV at a 20-day low confirms the selling, but Stochastic at 3.6 is deeply oversold, so avoid new shorts after a sharp flush and use any bounce toward SMA200 to exit.
- Close crossed below SMA200 1d ago, 8.8% below SMA50
- MACD crossed below zero 2d ago, hist -2.55
- RSI 34 down from 51
- OBV at 20-day low and falling
Close $129.71 · RSI 34.25 · -8.82% vs SMA50 · -1.62% vs SMA200 · 7-day -11.27% · Sector: Information Technology
Market backdrop: Breadth is weak: only 25.64% of the 511 stocks are above their SMA50 and 43.44% above their SMA200, with a median RSI of 40.59, so bullish entries should be limited to names with clear confluence.
How these picks are made
Every trading morning the system computes SMA 50/200, EMA 20/50, RSI (14), MACD (12/26/9), Bollinger Bands (20, 2σ), On-Balance Volume and the Stochastic Oscillator (14/3/3) on one year of daily prices, flags signal events from the last 7 sessions, screens out stocks reporting earnings in the next 5 trading days, and asks an AI model to choose the 3–5 clearest setups. BUY = fresh bullish setup; HOLD = uptrend intact but no fresh entry, so keep existing positions without chasing; SELL = bearish breakdown, so exit or avoid.
Disclaimer: This content is generated automatically for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Technical signals can and do fail. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.